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UpdatedChanged2022

There are five billion people on Earth

The core idea stands, but key numbers or details have changed.

TaughtThe world population is about 5 billion and growing at a frightening exponential rate.

NowThe UN marked the 8 billionth person on 15 November 2022. Growth is also no longer exponential: the global fertility rate has roughly halved since 1970 and the population is projected to peak around 10.3 billion in the 2080s.

What actually happened

The number depends entirely on when you were in school. World population hit 5 billion in 1987, 6 billion in 1999, 7 billion in 2011, and 8 billion in 2022. Whatever figure you memorized is wrong now, and it was probably wrong within a few years of your exam.

The more interesting change is the shape of the curve rather than the number on it. The exponential-growth framing that dominated classrooms from the 1970s onward, and the population-bomb literature behind it, described a real trend that has since bent. The global fertility rate fell from about 5 births per woman in 1960 to roughly 2.2 today, and much of the world is now below replacement. Population is still growing, driven by momentum and rising life expectancy, but the UN projects a peak this century followed by decline. The demographic anxiety in your textbook has largely inverted: a growing number of countries now worry about having too few people.

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Sources

  1. United Nations: Day of Eight Billionun.org
  2. UN World Population Prospectspopulation.un.org

Who was taught this

Still standard through 1998, so anyone who finished school between 1950 and 2022 learned the earlier version.